CANSLIM Screener [TrendX_]INTRODUCTION:
The CANSLIM investment strategy, developed by William J. O'Neil, is a powerful tool for identifying growth stocks that have the potential to outperform the market. TrendX has enhanced this approach with its unique indicators, making it easier for investors to assess stocks based on seven critical criteria.
➊ C: Current Quarterly EPS or PE with Growth Benchmark
The first criterion focuses on the Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth in the most recent quarter compared to previous quarters. A company should demonstrate significant EPS growth, ideally exceeding expectations and benchmarks within its industry.
➋ A: Average Annual EPS Growth with Growth Benchmark
This aspect evaluates a company's average annual EPS growth over the last three years. A consistent upward trend suggests that the company is effectively increasing its profitability. TrendX provides a customizable benchmark to help investors identify firms with sustainable growth trajectories.
➌ N: New Highs or New Product Development
TrendX interprets this criterion through an Annual Research & Development to Revenue Ratio (RNDR). A decreasing RNDR ratio may indicate that a company is finishing new products, which could lead to reduced revenue if product launches are unsuccessful.
➍ S: Supply and Demand
This component assesses supply and demand dynamics by analyzing the movement of Float Shares Outstanding. A decrease in float shares typically indicates higher demand for the stock, suggesting that the company is in good shape for future growth.
➎ L: Leader
TrendX employs comparative analysis between the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of a company and that of the overall market. If a company's RSI is higher than the market's, it signifies that the stock is leading rather than lagging.
➏ I: Institutional Sponsorship
Institutional sponsorship is gauged through the total dividends paid by a company. High dividend payouts can signal strong institutional interest, support and confidence in the company's future prospects.
➐ M: Market Direction
TrendX evaluates market direction by comparing a company's RSI against its Moving Average of RSI, along with utilizing Market Structure in Smart Money Concept indicator for alternative trend insights.
HOW TO USE
The TrendX CANSLIM indicator provides an evaluation score based on each of the seven criteria outlined above, which displays in a table containing:
Scoring System: Each letter in CANSLIM contributes to a total score out of 100%. A stock does not need to meet all seven criteria; achieving a score above 70% (5 out of 7) is generally considered indicative of a promising growth stock.
Screening Feature: The tool includes a screening feature that evaluates multiple stocks simultaneously, allowing investors to compare their CANSLIM scores efficiently. This feature streamlines identifying potential investment opportunities across various sectors.
DISCLAIMER
This indicator is not financial advice, it can only help traders make better decisions. There are many factors and uncertainties that can affect the outcome of any endeavor, and no one can guarantee or predict with certainty what will occur.
Therefore, one should always exercise caution and judgment when making decisions based on past performance.
"supply and demand" için komut dosyalarını ara
Price Action Smart Money Concepts [BigBeluga]THE SMART MONEY CONCEPTS Toolkit
The Smart Money Concepts [ BigBeluga ] is a comprehensive toolkit built around the principles of "smart money" behavior, which refers to the actions and strategies of institutional investors.
The Smart Money Concepts Toolkit brings together a suite of advanced indicators that are all interconnected and built around a unified concept: understanding and trading like institutional investors, or "smart money." These indicators are not just randomly chosen tools; they are features of a single overarching framework, which is why having them all in one place creates such a powerful system.
This all-in-one toolkit provides the user with a unique experience by automating most of the basic and advanced concepts on the chart, saving them time and improving their trading ideas.
Real-time market structure analysis simplifies complex trends by pinpointing key support, resistance, and breakout levels.
Advanced order block analysis leverages detailed volume data to pinpoint high-demand zones, revealing internal market sentiment and predicting potential reversals. This analysis utilizes bid/ask zones to provide supply/demand insights, empowering informed trading decisions.
Imbalance Concepts (FVG and Breakers) allows traders to identify potential market weaknesses and areas where price might be attracted to fill the gap, creating opportunities for entry and exit.
Swing failure patterns help traders identify potential entry points and rejection zones based on price swings.
Liquidity Concepts, our advanced liquidity algorithm, pinpoints high-impact events, allowing you to predict market shifts, strong price reactions, and potential stop-loss hunting zones. This gives traders an edge to make informed trading decisions based on liquidity dynamics.
🔵 FEATURES
The indicator has quite a lot of features that are provided below:
Swing market structure
Internal market structure
Mapping structure
Adjustable market structure
Strong/Weak H&L
Sweep
Volumetric Order block / Breakers
Fair Value Gaps / Breakers (multi-timeframe)
Swing Failure Patterns (multi-timeframe)
Deviation area
Equal H&L
Liquidity Prints
Buyside & Sellside
Sweep Area
Highs and Lows (multi-timeframe)
🔵 BASIC DEMONSTRATION OF ALL FEATURES
1. MARKET STRUCTURE
The preceding image illustrates the market structure functionality within the Smart Money Concepts indicator.
➤ Solid lines: These represent the core indicator's internal structure, forming the foundation for most other components. They visually depict the overall market direction and identify major reversal points marked by significant price movements (denoted as 'x').
➤ Internal Structure: These represent an alternative internal structure with the potential to drive more rapid market shifts. This is particularly relevant when a significant gap exists in the established swing structure, specifically between the Break of Structure (BOS) and the most recent Change of High/Low (CHoCH). Identifying these formations can offer opportunities for quicker entries and potential short-term reversals.
➤ Sweeps (x): These signify potential turning points in the market where liquidity is removed from the structure. This suggests a possible trend reversal and presents crucial entry opportunities. Sweeps are identified within both swing and internal structures, providing valuable insights for informed trading decisions.
➤ Mapping structure: A tool that automatically identifies and connects significant price highs and lows, creating a zig-zag pattern. It visualizes market structure, highlights trends, support/resistance levels, and potential breakouts. Helps traders quickly grasp price action patterns and make informed decisions.
➤ Color-coded candles based on market structure: These colors visually represent the underlying market structure, making it easier for traders to quickly identify trends.
➤ Extreme H&L: It visualizes market structure with extreme high and lows, which gives perspective for macro Market Structure.
2. VOLUMETRIC ORDER BLOCKS
Order blocks are specific areas on a financial chart where significant buying or selling activity has occurred. These are not just simple zones; they contain valuable information about market dynamics. Within each of these order blocks, volume bars represent the actual buying and selling activity that took place. These volume bars offer deeper insights into the strength of the order block by showing how much buying or selling power is concentrated in that specific zone.
Additionally, these order blocks can be transformed into Breaker Blocks. When an order block fails—meaning the price breaks through this zone without reversing—it becomes a breaker block. Breaker blocks are particularly useful for trading breakouts, as they signal that the market has shifted beyond a previously established zone, offering opportunities for traders to enter in the direction of the breakout.
Here's a breakdown:
➤ Bear Order Blocks (Red): These are zones where a lot of selling happened. Traders see these areas as places where sellers were strong, pushing the price down. When the price returns to these zones, it might face resistance and drop again.
➤ Bull Order Blocks (Green): These are zones where a lot of buying happened. Traders see these areas as places where buyers were strong, pushing the price up. When the price returns to these zones, it might find support and rise again.
These Order Blocks help traders identify potential areas for entering or exiting trades based on past market activity. The volume bars inside blocks show the amount of trading activity that occurred in these blocks, giving an idea of the strength of buying or selling pressure.
➤ Breaker Block: When an order block fails, meaning the price breaks through this zone without reversing, it becomes a breaker block. This indicates a significant shift in market liquidity and structure.
➤ A bearish breaker block occurs after a bullish order block fails. This typically happens when there's an upward trend, and a certain level that was expected to support the market's rise instead gives way, leading to a sharp decline. This decline indicates that sellers have overcome the buyers, absorbing liquidity and shifting the sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Conversely, a bullish breaker block is formed from the failure of a bearish order block. In a downtrend, when a level that was expected to act as resistance is breached, and the price shoots up, it signifies that buyers have taken control, overpowering the sellers.
3. FAIR VALUE GAPS:
A fair value gap (FVG), also referred to as an imbalance, is an essential concept in Smart Money trading. It highlights the supply and demand dynamics. This gap arises when there's a notable difference between the volume of buy and sell orders. FVGs can be found across various asset classes, including forex, commodities, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
FVGs in this toolkit have the ability to detect raids of FVG which helps to identify potential price reversals.
Mitigation option helps to change from what source FVGs will be identified: Close, Wicks or AVG.
4. SWING FAILURE PATTERN (SFP):
The Swing Failure Pattern is a liquidity engineering pattern, generally used to fill large orders. This means, the SFP generally occurs when larger players push the price into liquidity pockets with the sole objective of filling their own positions.
SFP is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential market reversals. It works by detecting instances where the price briefly breaks a previous high or low but fails to maintain that breakout, quickly reversing direction.
How it works:
Pattern Detection: The indicator scans for price movements that breach recent highs or lows.
Reversal Confirmation: If the price quickly reverses after breaching these levels, it's identified as an SFP.
➤ SFP Display:
Bullish SFP: Marked with a green symbol when price drops below a recent low before reversing upwards.
Bearish SFP: Marked with a red symbol when price rises above a recent high before reversing downwards.
➤ Deviation Levels: After detecting an SFP, the indicator projects white lines showing potential price deviation:
For bullish SFPs, the deviation line appears above the current price.
For bearish SFPs, the deviation line appears below the current price.
These deviation levels can serve as a potential trading opportunity or areas where the reversal might lose momentum.
With Volume Threshold and Filtering of SFP traders can adjust their trading style:
Volume Threshold: This setting allows traders to filter SFPs based on the volume of the reversal candle. By setting a higher volume threshold, traders can focus on potentially more significant reversals that are backed by higher trading activity.
SFP Filtering: This feature enables traders to filter SFP detection. It includes parameters such as:
5. LIQUIDITY CONCEPTS:
➤ Equal Lows (EQL) and Equal Highs (EQH) are important concepts in liquidity-based trading.
EQL: A series of two or more swing lows that occur at approximately the same price level.
EQH: A series of two or more swing highs that occur at approximately the same price level.
EQLs and EQHs are seen as potential liquidity pools where a large number of stop loss orders or limit orders may be clustered. They can be used as potential reverse points for trades.
This multi-period feature allows traders to select less and more significant EQL and EQH:
➤ Liquidity wicks:
Liquidity wicks are a minor representation of a stop-loss hunt during the retracement of a pivot point:
➤ Buy and Sell side liquidity:
The buy side liquidity represents a concentration of potential buy orders below the current price level. When price moves into this area, it can lead to increased buying pressure due to the execution of these orders.
The sell side liquidity indicates a pool of potential sell orders below the current price level. Price movement into this area can result in increased selling pressure as these orders are executed.
➤ Sweep Liquidation Zones:
Sweep Liquidation Zones are crucial for understanding market structure and potential future price movements. They provide insights into areas where significant market participants have been forced out of their positions, potentially setting up new trading opportunities.
🔵 USAGE & EXAMPLES
The core principle behind the success of this toolkit lies in identifying "confluence." This refers to the convergence of multiple trading indicators all signaling the same information at a specific point or area. By seeking such alignment, traders can significantly enhance the likelihood of successful trades.
MS + OBs
The chart illustrates a highly bullish setup where the price is rejecting from a bullish order block (POC), while simultaneously forming a bullish Swing Failure Pattern (SFP). This occurs after an internal structure change, marked by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH). The price broke through a bearish order block, transforming it into a breaker block, further confirming the bullish momentum.
The combination of these elements—bullish order blocks, SFP, and CHoCH—creates a powerful bullish signal, reinforcing the potential for upward movement in the market.
SFP + Bear OB
This chart above displays a bearish setup with a high probability of a price move lower. The price is currently rejecting from a bear order block, which represents a key resistance area where significant selling pressure has previously occurred. A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) has also formed near this bear order block, indicating that the price briefly attempted to break above a recent high but failed to sustain that upward movement. This failure suggests that buyers are losing momentum, and the market could be preparing for a move to the downside.
Additionally, we can toggle on the Deviation Area in the SFP section to highlight potential levels where price deviation might occur. These deviation areas represent zones where the price is likely to react after the Swing Failure Pattern:
BUY – SELL sides + EQL
The chart showcases a bullish setup with a high probability of price breaking out of the current sell-side resistance level. The market structure indicates a formation of Equal Lows (EQL), which often suggests a build-up of liquidity that could drive the price higher.
The presence of strong buy-side pressure (69%), indicated by the green zone at the bottom, reinforces this bullish outlook. This area represents a key support zone where buyers are outpacing sellers, providing the foundation for a potential upward breakout.
EQL + Bull ChoCh
This chart illustrates a potential bullish setup, driven by the formation of Equal Lows (EQL) followed by a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH). The presence of Equal Lows often signals a liquidity build-up, which can lead to a reversal when combined with additional bullish signals.
Liquidity grab + Bull ChoCh + FVGs
This chart demonstrates a strong bullish scenario, where several important market dynamics are at play. The price begins its upward momentum from Liquidity grab following a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling the transition from a bearish phase to a bullish one.
As the price progresses, it performs liquidity grabs, which serve to gather the necessary fuel for further movement. These liquidity grabs often occur before significant price surges, as large market participants exploit these areas to accumulate positions before pushing the price higher.
The chart also highlights a market imbalance area, showing strong momentum as the price moves swiftly through this zone.
In this examples, we see how the combination of multiple “smart money” tools helps identify a potential trade opportunities. This is just one of the many scenarios that traders can spot using this toolkit. Other combinations—such as order blocks, liquidity grabs, fair value gaps, and Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs)—can also be layered on top of these concepts to further refine your trading strategy.
🔵 SETTINGS
Window: limit calculation period
Swing: limit drawing function
Mapping structure: show structural points
Algorithmic Logic: (Extreme-Adjusted) Use max high/low or pivot point calculation
Algorithmic loopback: pivot point look back
Show Last: Amount of Order block to display
Hide Overlap: hide overlapping order blocks
Construction: Size of the order blocks
Fair value gaps: Choose between normal FVG or Breaker FVG
Mitigation: (close - wick - avg) point to mitigate the order block/imbalance
SFP lookback: find a higher / lower point to improve accuracy
Threshold: remove less relevant SFP
Equal H&L: (short-mid-long term) display longer term
Liquidity Prints: Shows wicks of candles where liquidity was grabbed
Sweep Area: Identify Sweep Liquidation areas
By combining these indicators in one toolkit, traders are equipped with a comprehensive suite of tools that address every angle of the Smart Money Concept. Instead of relying on disparate tools spread across various platforms, having them integrated into a single, cohesive system allows traders to easily see confluence and make more informed trading decisions.
Three Drive [TradingFinder] 3 Drive Harmonic Pattern Indicator🔵 Introduction
The "Three Drive" pattern is one of the light "RTM" setups suitable for identifying price trend reversals. For this reason, this pattern is considered one of the "Reversal Patterns."
🟣 Bullish 3 Drive
At a price bottom, a formation occurs where the negative trend appears to continue, and lower lows are made.
However, the second low penetrates the range of the first low, and the third low penetrates the range of the second low, indicating a decrease in selling pressure and an increase in buying pressure.
Entry point is issued after the penetration of the third low to the second low, and targets are the highs formed in the "3 Drive."
🟣 Bearish 3 Drive
At a price top, a formation occurs where the positive trend appears to continue, and higher highs are made.
However, the second high penetrates the range of the first high, and the third high penetrates the range of the second high, indicating a decrease in buyers' strength and an increase in sellers' strength.
Entry point is issued after the penetration of the third high to the second high, and targets are the lows formed in the "3 Drive."
Importance :
This pattern bears a striking resemblance to the some of "Harmonic Pattern" and "Ending Diagonal" in the "Elliott Pattern".
🔵 How to Use
There is no need for further confirmation to use this pattern, and you can use it as soon as the pattern forms. However, to reduce errors, it is better to use this pattern when it forms within a "Supply and Demand" or "Support and Resistance" structure.
Bullish 3 Drive in Demand Zone :
Bearish 3 Drive in Supply Zone :
🔵 Settings
You can set your desired "Pivot Period" via settings for the indicator to identify setups based on it.
BAERMThe Bitcoin Auto-correlation Exchange Rate Model: A Novel Two Step Approach
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL AND ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.
If you enjoy this software and information, please consider contributing to my lightning address
Prelude
It has been previously established that the Bitcoin daily USD exchange rate series is extremely auto-correlated
In this article, we will utilise this fact to build a model for Bitcoin/USD exchange rate. But not a model for predicting the exchange rate, but rather a model to understand the fundamental reasons for the Bitcoin to have this exchange rate to begin with.
This is a model of sound money, scarcity and subjective value.
Introduction
Bitcoin, a decentralised peer to peer digital value exchange network, has experienced significant exchange rate fluctuations since its inception in 2009. In this article, we explore a two-step model that reasonably accurately captures both the fundamental drivers of Bitcoin’s value and the cyclical patterns of bull and bear markets. This model, whilst it can produce forecasts, is meant more of a way of understanding past exchange rate changes and understanding the fundamental values driving the ever increasing exchange rate. The forecasts from the model are to be considered inconclusive and speculative only.
Data preparation
To develop the BAERM, we used historical Bitcoin data from Coin Metrics, a leading provider of Bitcoin market data. The dataset includes daily USD exchange rates, block counts, and other relevant information. We pre-processed the data by performing the following steps:
Fixing date formats and setting the dataset’s time index
Generating cumulative sums for blocks and halving periods
Calculating daily rewards and total supply
Computing the log-transformed price
Step 1: Building the Base Model
To build the base model, we analysed data from the first two epochs (time periods between Bitcoin mining reward halvings) and regressed the logarithm of Bitcoin’s exchange rate on the mining reward and epoch. This base model captures the fundamental relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange rate, mining reward, and halving epoch.
where Yt represents the exchange rate at day t, Epochk is the kth epoch (for that t), and epsilont is the error term. The coefficients beta0, beta1, and beta2 are estimated using ordinary least squares regression.
Base Model Regression
We use ordinary least squares regression to estimate the coefficients for the betas in figure 2. In order to reduce the possibility of over-fitting and ensure there is sufficient out of sample for testing accuracy, the base model is only trained on the first two epochs. You will notice in the code we calculate the beta2 variable prior and call it “phaseplus”.
The code below shows the regression for the base model coefficients:
\# Run the regression
mask = df\ < 2 # we only want to use Epoch's 0 and 1 to estimate the coefficients for the base model
reg\_X = df.loc\ [mask, \ \].shift(1).iloc\
reg\_y = df.loc\ .iloc\
reg\_X = sm.add\_constant(reg\_X)
ols = sm.OLS(reg\_y, reg\_X).fit()
coefs = ols.params.values
print(coefs)
The result of this regression gives us the coefficients for the betas of the base model:
\
or in more human readable form: 0.029, 0.996869586, -0.00043. NB that for the auto-correlation/momentum beta, we did NOT round the significant figures at all. Since the momentum is so important in this model, we must use all available significant figures.
Fundamental Insights from the Base Model
Momentum effect: The term 0.997 Y suggests that the exchange rate of Bitcoin on a given day (Yi) is heavily influenced by the exchange rate on the previous day. This indicates a momentum effect, where the price of Bitcoin tends to follow its recent trend.
Momentum effect is a phenomenon observed in various financial markets, including stocks and other commodities. It implies that an asset’s price is more likely to continue moving in its current direction, either upwards or downwards, over the short term.
The momentum effect can be driven by several factors:
Behavioural biases: Investors may exhibit herding behaviour or be subject to cognitive biases such as confirmation bias, which could lead them to buy or sell assets based on recent trends, reinforcing the momentum.
Positive feedback loops: As more investors notice a trend and act on it, the trend may gain even more traction, leading to a self-reinforcing positive feedback loop. This can cause prices to continue moving in the same direction, further amplifying the momentum effect.
Technical analysis: Many traders use technical analysis to make investment decisions, which often involves studying historical exchange rate trends and chart patterns to predict future exchange rate movements. When a large number of traders follow similar strategies, their collective actions can create and reinforce exchange rate momentum.
Impact of halving events: In the Bitcoin network, new bitcoins are created as a reward to miners for validating transactions and adding new blocks to the blockchain. This reward is called the block reward, and it is halved approximately every four years, or every 210,000 blocks. This event is known as a halving.
The primary purpose of halving events is to control the supply of new bitcoins entering the market, ultimately leading to a capped supply of 21 million bitcoins. As the block reward decreases, the rate at which new bitcoins are created slows down, and this can have significant implications for the price of Bitcoin.
The term -0.0004*(50/(2^epochk) — (epochk+1)²) accounts for the impact of the halving events on the Bitcoin exchange rate. The model seems to suggest that the exchange rate of Bitcoin is influenced by a function of the number of halving events that have occurred.
Exponential decay and the decreasing impact of the halvings: The first part of this term, 50/(2^epochk), indicates that the impact of each subsequent halving event decays exponentially, implying that the influence of halving events on the Bitcoin exchange rate diminishes over time. This might be due to the decreasing marginal effect of each halving event on the overall Bitcoin supply as the block reward gets smaller and smaller.
This is antithetical to the wrong and popular stock to flow model, which suggests the opposite. Given the accuracy of the BAERM, this is yet another reason to question the S2F model, from a fundamental perspective.
The second part of the term, (epochk+1)², introduces a non-linear relationship between the halving events and the exchange rate. This non-linear aspect could reflect that the impact of halving events is not constant over time and may be influenced by various factors such as market dynamics, speculation, and changing market conditions.
The combination of these two terms is expressed by the graph of the model line (see figure 3), where it can be seen the step from each halving is decaying, and the step up from each halving event is given by a parabolic curve.
NB - The base model has been trained on the first two halving epochs and then seeded (i.e. the first lag point) with the oldest data available.
Constant term: The constant term 0.03 in the equation represents an inherent baseline level of growth in the Bitcoin exchange rate.
In any linear or linear-like model, the constant term, also known as the intercept or bias, represents the value of the dependent variable (in this case, the log-scaled Bitcoin USD exchange rate) when all the independent variables are set to zero.
The constant term indicates that even without considering the effects of the previous day’s exchange rate or halving events, there is a baseline growth in the exchange rate of Bitcoin. This baseline growth could be due to factors such as the network’s overall growth or increasing adoption, or changes in the market structure (more exchanges, changes to the regulatory environment, improved liquidity, more fiat on-ramps etc).
Base Model Regression Diagnostics
Below is a summary of the model generated by the OLS function
OLS Regression Results
\==============================================================================
Dep. Variable: logprice R-squared: 0.999
Model: OLS Adj. R-squared: 0.999
Method: Least Squares F-statistic: 2.041e+06
Date: Fri, 28 Apr 2023 Prob (F-statistic): 0.00
Time: 11:06:58 Log-Likelihood: 3001.6
No. Observations: 2182 AIC: -5997.
Df Residuals: 2179 BIC: -5980.
Df Model: 2
Covariance Type: nonrobust
\==============================================================================
coef std err t P>|t| \
\------------------------------------------------------------------------------
const 0.0292 0.009 3.081 0.002 0.011 0.048
logprice 0.9969 0.001 1012.724 0.000 0.995 0.999
phaseplus -0.0004 0.000 -2.239 0.025 -0.001 -5.3e-05
\==============================================================================
Omnibus: 674.771 Durbin-Watson: 1.901
Prob(Omnibus): 0.000 Jarque-Bera (JB): 24937.353
Skew: -0.765 Prob(JB): 0.00
Kurtosis: 19.491 Cond. No. 255.
\==============================================================================
Below we see some regression diagnostics along with the regression itself.
Diagnostics: We can see that the residuals are looking a little skewed and there is some heteroskedasticity within the residuals. The coefficient of determination, or r2 is very high, but that is to be expected given the momentum term. A better r2 is manually calculated by the sum square of the difference of the model to the untrained data. This can be achieved by the following code:
\# Calculate the out-of-sample R-squared
oos\_mask = df\ >= 2
oos\_actual = df.loc\
oos\_predicted = df.loc\
residuals\_oos = oos\_actual - oos\_predicted
SSR = np.sum(residuals\_oos \*\* 2)
SST = np.sum((oos\_actual - oos\_actual.mean()) \*\* 2)
R2\_oos = 1 - SSR/SST
print("Out-of-sample R-squared:", R2\_oos)
The result is: 0.84, which indicates a very close fit to the out of sample data for the base model, which goes some way to proving our fundamental assumption around subjective value and sound money to be accurate.
Step 2: Adding the Damping Function
Next, we incorporated a damping function to capture the cyclical nature of bull and bear markets. The optimal parameters for the damping function were determined by regressing on the residuals from the base model. The damping function enhances the model’s ability to identify and predict bull and bear cycles in the Bitcoin market. The addition of the damping function to the base model is expressed as the full model equation.
This brings me to the question — why? Why add the damping function to the base model, which is arguably already performing extremely well out of sample and providing valuable insights into the exchange rate movements of Bitcoin.
Fundamental reasoning behind the addition of a damping function:
Subjective Theory of Value: The cyclical component of the damping function, represented by the cosine function, can be thought of as capturing the periodic fluctuations in market sentiment. These fluctuations may arise from various factors, such as changes in investor risk appetite, macroeconomic conditions, or technological advancements. Mathematically, the cyclical component represents the frequency of these fluctuations, while the phase shift (α and β) allows for adjustments in the alignment of these cycles with historical data. This flexibility enables the damping function to account for the heterogeneity in market participants’ preferences and expectations, which is a key aspect of the subjective theory of value.
Time Preference and Market Cycles: The exponential decay component of the damping function, represented by the term e^(-0.0004t), can be linked to the concept of time preference and its impact on market dynamics. In financial markets, the discounting of future cash flows is a common practice, reflecting the time value of money and the inherent uncertainty of future events. The exponential decay in the damping function serves a similar purpose, diminishing the influence of past market cycles as time progresses. This decay term introduces a time-dependent weight to the cyclical component, capturing the dynamic nature of the Bitcoin market and the changing relevance of past events.
Interactions between Cyclical and Exponential Decay Components: The interplay between the cyclical and exponential decay components in the damping function captures the complex dynamics of the Bitcoin market. The damping function effectively models the attenuation of past cycles while also accounting for their periodic nature. This allows the model to adapt to changing market conditions and to provide accurate predictions even in the face of significant volatility or structural shifts.
Now we have the fundamental reasoning for the addition of the function, we can explore the actual implementation and look to other analogies for guidance —
Financial and physical analogies to the damping function:
Mathematical Aspects: The exponential decay component, e^(-0.0004t), attenuates the amplitude of the cyclical component over time. This attenuation factor is crucial in modelling the diminishing influence of past market cycles. The cyclical component, represented by the cosine function, accounts for the periodic nature of market cycles, with α determining the frequency of these cycles and β representing the phase shift. The constant term (+3) ensures that the function remains positive, which is important for practical applications, as the damping function is added to the rest of the model to obtain the final predictions.
Analogies to Existing Damping Functions: The damping function in the BAERM is similar to damped harmonic oscillators found in physics. In a damped harmonic oscillator, an object in motion experiences a restoring force proportional to its displacement from equilibrium and a damping force proportional to its velocity. The equation of motion for a damped harmonic oscillator is:
x’’(t) + 2γx’(t) + ω₀²x(t) = 0
where x(t) is the displacement, ω₀ is the natural frequency, and γ is the damping coefficient. The damping function in the BAERM shares similarities with the solution to this equation, which is typically a product of an exponential decay term and a sinusoidal term. The exponential decay term in the BAERM captures the attenuation of past market cycles, while the cosine term represents the periodic nature of these cycles.
Comparisons with Financial Models: In finance, damped oscillatory models have been applied to model interest rates, stock prices, and exchange rates. The famous Black-Scholes option pricing model, for instance, assumes that stock prices follow a geometric Brownian motion, which can exhibit oscillatory behavior under certain conditions. In fixed income markets, the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model for interest rates also incorporates mean reversion and stochastic volatility, leading to damped oscillatory dynamics.
By drawing on these analogies, we can better understand the technical aspects of the damping function in the BAERM and appreciate its effectiveness in modelling the complex dynamics of the Bitcoin market. The damping function captures both the periodic nature of market cycles and the attenuation of past events’ influence.
Conclusion
In this article, we explored the Bitcoin Auto-correlation Exchange Rate Model (BAERM), a novel 2-step linear regression model for understanding the Bitcoin USD exchange rate. We discussed the model’s components, their interpretations, and the fundamental insights they provide about Bitcoin exchange rate dynamics.
The BAERM’s ability to capture the fundamental properties of Bitcoin is particularly interesting. The framework underlying the model emphasises the importance of individuals’ subjective valuations and preferences in determining prices. The momentum term, which accounts for auto-correlation, is a testament to this idea, as it shows that historical price trends influence market participants’ expectations and valuations. This observation is consistent with the notion that the price of Bitcoin is determined by individuals’ preferences based on past information.
Furthermore, the BAERM incorporates the impact of Bitcoin’s supply dynamics on its price through the halving epoch terms. By acknowledging the significance of supply-side factors, the model reflects the principles of sound money. A limited supply of money, such as that of Bitcoin, maintains its value and purchasing power over time. The halving events, which reduce the block reward, play a crucial role in making Bitcoin increasingly scarce, thus reinforcing its attractiveness as a store of value and a medium of exchange.
The constant term in the model serves as the baseline for the model’s predictions and can be interpreted as an inherent value attributed to Bitcoin. This value emphasizes the significance of the underlying technology, network effects, and Bitcoin’s role as a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account. These aspects are all essential for a sound form of money, and the model’s ability to account for them further showcases its strength in capturing the fundamental properties of Bitcoin.
The BAERM offers a potential robust and well-founded methodology for understanding the Bitcoin USD exchange rate, taking into account the key factors that drive it from both supply and demand perspectives.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin Auto-correlation Exchange Rate Model provides a comprehensive fundamentally grounded and hopefully useful framework for understanding the Bitcoin USD exchange rate.
VWAP RangeThe VWAP Range indicator is a highly versatile and innovative tool designed with trading signals for trading the supply and demand within consolidation ranges.
What's a VWAP?
A VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) represents an equilibrium point in the market, balancing supply and demand over a specified period. Unlike simple moving averages, VWAP gives more weight to periods with higher volume. This is crucial because large volumes indicate significant trading activity, often by institutional traders, whose actions can reflect deeper market insights or create substantial market movements. The VWAP is also often used as a benchmark to evaluate the efficiency of executed trades. If a trader buys below the VWAP and sells above it, they are generally considered to have transacted favourably.
This is how it works:
Multiple VWAP Anchors:
This indicator uses multiple VWAPs anchored to different optional time periods, such as Daily, Weekly, Monthly, as well as to the highest high a lowest low within those periods. This multiplicity allows for a comprehensive view of the market’s average price based on volume and price, tailored to different trading styles and strategies.
Dynamic and Fixed Periods:
Traders can choose between using dynamic ranges, which reset at the start of each selected period, and specifying a date and time for a particular fixed range to trade. This flexibility is crucial for analyzing price movements within specific ranges or market phases.
Fixed ranges allow VWAPs to be calculated and anchored to a significant market event, the beginning of a consolidation phase or after a major news announcement.
Signal Generation:
The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the relationship of the price to the VWAPs. It also allows for setting a maximum number of signals in one direction to avoid overtrading or pyramiding. Be sure to wait for the candle close before trading on the signals.
Average Buy/Sell Signal Lines:
Lines can be plotted to display the average buy and sell signal prices. The difference between the lines shows the average profit per trade when trading on the signals in that range. It's a good way to see how profitable a range is on average without backtesting the signals. The lines will also often turn into support and resistance areas, similar to value areas in a volume profile.
Customizable Settings:
Traders have control over various settings, such as the VWAP calculation method and bar color. There are also tooltips for every function.
Hidden Feature:
There's a subtle feature in this indicator: if you have 'Indicator values' turned on in TradingView, you'll see a Sell/Buy Ratio displayed only in the status line. This ratio indicates whether there are more sell signals than buy signals in a range, regardless of the Max Signals setting. A red value above 1 suggests that the market is trending upward, indicating you might want to hold your long positions a bit longer. Conversely, a green value below 1 implies a downward trend.
EQ LEVELS / EquilibriumWhat is it, How to use it, How to adjust the settings? What Calculates EQ Level?
What is it?
EQ, Equilibrium, In the money market, the term "equilibrium" or "equilibrium" refers to the point at which supply and demand are equalised. At this point, money supply and money demand meet each other and interest rates stabilise at a certain level. Equilibrium in the money market reflects the overall financial balance in the economy
According to What Calculates the EQ Level?
Normally, there may be many different alternatives to this, but I have printed the result on the screen by adding the highest and lowest levels of the prices and averaging them to think of a simple solution.
How to use it?
I have added 4 timeframes for both long-term investors and traders to use. If you want to use which timeframe, you can select the timeframe you want from the settings and see it on the chart. For those who want to trade, my suggestion is to follow the daily eq levels and of course look at the weekly eq levels. The weekly eq level can give you an idea of what kind of price range the next day may be in.
How to Make Settings?
When you first add the indicator to the chart, it draws a line. You change it to a circle or plus in the settings, it will look like the picture I shared. I also share open source code and can make changes in the code.
Nedir?, Nasıl Kullanılır?, Ayarları Nasıl Yapılır? EQ Seviyesini Neye Göre Hesaplar?
Nedir?:
EQ yani Equilibrium, Para piyasasında "denge" veya "equilibrium" terimi, arz ve talebin eşitlendiği noktayı ifade eder. Bu noktada, para arzı ile para talebi birbirini karşılar ve faiz oranları belirli bir seviyede dengelenir. Para piyasasındaki denge, ekonomideki genel finansal dengeyi yansıtır
EQ Seviyesini Neye Göre Hesaplar?
Normalde bunun farlı bir çok alternatifi olabilir ama ben biraz basit bir çözüm düşünmek için fiyatların en yüksek ve en düşük seviyelerini toplayarak ve ortalamasını alarak çıka sonucu ekrana yazdırdım.
Nasıl Kullanılır?
Hem uzun vadeli yatırım yapanlar hem de trade yapanların kullanabilmesi için 4 zaman dilimi ekledim. Hangi zaman dilimini kullanmak istiyorsanız ayarlardan istediniz zaman dilimini seçip onu grafikte görebilirsiniz. Trade yapmak isteyenler için önerim günlük eq seviyelerini takip etmeleri ve tabiki haftalık eq seviyelerine bakın. Haftalık eq seviyesi size bir sonra ki günün nasıl bir fiyat aralığı içerisinde olabileceği konusunda fikir verebilir.
Ayarları Nasıl Yapılır?
Grafiğe indikatörü ilk eklediğiniz de çizgi çizdirir. Siz ayarlardan onu daire veya artı olarak değiştirin benim paylaştığım resimde ki gibi görünecektir. Ayrıca açık kaynak kodlu paylaşıyorum isteyen kod içerisinde değişiklikler yapabilir.
Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored) [LuxAlgo]
The Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored) is an advanced charting tool that measures by combining PRICE and VOLUME data over specified anchored periods and highlights the distribution of the liquidity and the market sentiment at specific price levels. This version is a variation of the previously published Liquidity Sentiment Profile , wherewith this version allows users to select a variety of different anchoring periods, such as 'Auto', 'Fixed Range', 'Swing High', 'Swing Low', 'Session', 'Day', 'Week', 'Month', 'Quarter', and 'Year'
Liquidity refers to the availability of orders at specific price levels in the market, allowing transactions to occur smoothly.
🔶 USAGE
A Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored) is a combination of liquidity and a sentiment profile, where the right side of the profile highlights the distribution of the traded activity at different price levels, and the left side of the profile highlights the market sentiment at those price levels
The liquidity profile is categorized by assigning different colors based on the significance of the traded activity of the specific price levels, allowing traders to reveal significant price levels, such as support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones, liquidity gaps, consolidation zones, etc
The Liquidity Sentiment Profiles aim to present Value Areas based on the significance of price levels, thus allowing users to identify value areas that can be formed more than once within the range of a single profile
Level of Significance Line - displays the changes in the price levels with the highest traded activity (developing POC)
Buyside & Sellside Liquidity Zones - displays Liquidity Levels, also known as Supply and Demand Zones
🔶 SETTINGS
The script takes into account user-defined parameters and plots the profiles, where detailed usage for each user-defined input parameter in indicator settings is provided with the related input's tooltip.
🔹 Liquidity Sentiment Profile
Anchor Period: The indicator resolution is set by the input of the Anchor Period.
Fixed Period: Applicable if the Anchor Period is set to 'Fixed Range' then the period of the profile is defined with this option
Swing Detection Length: Applicable if the Anchor Period is set to 'Swing High' or 'Swing Low' then the length required to detect the Swing Levels is defined with this option which is then used to determine the period of the profile
🔹 Liquidity Profile
Liquidity Profile: Toggles the visibility of the Liquidity Profiles
High Traded Nodes: Threshold and Color option for High Traded Nodes
Average Traded Nodes: Color option for Average Traded Nodes
Low Traded Nodes: Threshold and Color option for Low Traded Nodes
🔹 Sentiment Profile
Sentiment Profile: Toggles the visibility of the Sentiment Profiles
Bullish Nodes: Color option for Bullish Nodes
Bearish Nodes: Color option for Bearish Nodes
🔹 Buyside & Sellside Liquidity Zones
Buyside & Sellside Liquidity Zones: Toggles the visibility of the Liquidity Levels
Buyside Liquidity Nodes: Color option for Buyside Liquidity Nodes
Sellside Liquidity Nodes: Color option for Sellside Liquidity Nodes
🔹 Other Settings
Level of Significance: Toggles the visibility of the Level of Significance Line
Price Levels, Color: Toggles the visibility of the Profile Price Levels
Number of Rows: Specify how many rows each profile histogram will have. Caution, having it set to high values will quickly hit Pine Script™ drawing objects limit and fewer historical profiles will be displayed
Profile Width %: Alters the width of the rows in the histogram, relative to the profile length
Profile Range Background Fill: Toggles the visibility of the Profiles Range
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Liquidity-Sentiment-Profile
Buyside-Sellside-Liquidity
ICT-Concepts
Liquidity Voids (FVG) [LuxAlgo]The Liquidity Voids (FVG) indicator is designed to detect liquidity voids/imbalances derived from the fair value gaps and highlight the distribution of the liquidity voids at specific price levels.
Fair value gaps and liquidity voids are both indicators of sell-side and buy-side imbalance in trading. The only difference is how they are represented in the trading chart. Liquidity voids occur when the price moves sharply in one direction forming long-range candles that have little trading activity, whilst a fair value is a gap in price.
🔶 USAGE
Liquidity can help you to determine where the price is likely to head next. In conjunction with higher timeframe market structure, and supply and demand, liquidity can give you insights into potential price movement. It's essential to practice using liquidity alongside trend analysis and supply and demand to read market conditions effectively.
The peculiar thing about liquidity voids is that they almost always fill up. And by “filling”, we mean the price returns to the origin of the gap. The reason for this is that during the gap, an imbalance is created in the asset that has to be made up for. The erasure of this gap is what we call the filling of the void. And while some voids waste no time in filling, some others take multiple periods before they get filled.
🔶 SETTINGS
The script takes into account user-defined parameters and detects the liquidity voids based on them, where detailed usage for each user-defined input parameter in indicator settings is provided with the related input's tooltip.
🔹 Liquidity Detection
Liquidity Voids Threshold: Act as a filter while detecting the Liquidity Voids. When set to 0 basically means no filtering is applied, increasing the value causes the script to check the width of the void compared to a fixed-length ATR value
Bullish: Color customization option for Bullish Liquidity Voids
Bearish: Color customization option for Bearish Liquidity Voids
Labels: Toggles the visibility of the Liquidity Void label
Filled Liquidity Voids: Toggles the visibility of the Filled Liquidity Voids
🔹 Display Options
Mode: Controls the lookback length of detection and visualization
# Bars: Lookback length customization, in case Mode is set to Present
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Buyside-Sellside-Liquidity
Fair-Value-Gaps
Multi-Timeframe High Low (@JP7FX)Multi-Timeframe High Low Levels (@JP7FX)
This Price Action indicator displays high and low levels from a selected timeframe on your current chart.
These levels COULD represent areas of potential liquidity, providing key price points where traders can target entries, reversals, or continuation trades.
Key Features:
Display high and low levels from a selected timeframe.
Customize line width, colors for high and low levels, and label text color.
Enable or disable the display of high levels, low levels, and labels.
Receive alerts when the price takes out high or low levels.
How to use:
It is important to note that using this indicator on it's own is not advisable. Instead, it should be combined with other tools and analysis for a more comprehensive trading strategy.
Possibly look to use my MTF Supply and Demand Indicator to look for zones to trade from at these levels?
If the price breaks above a high level, you might consider entering a long position, with the expectation that the price will continue to rise. Conversely, if the price breaks below a low level, you may think about entering a short position, anticipating further downward movement.
On the other hand, you can also use high or low levels to look for reversal trades, as these areas can represent attractive liquidity zones.
By identifying these key price points, you could take advantage of potential market reversals and capitalise on new trading opportunities.
Always remember to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for the best results.
Additionally, you can enable alerts to notify you when the price takes out high or low levels, helping you stay informed about significant price movements.
This indicator could be a valuable tool for traders looking to identify key price points for potential trading opportunities.
As always with the markets, Trade Safe :)
Volume HIGH/CLIMAX
Volume is the number of shares of a security traded during a given period of time.
Generally securities with more daily volume are more liquid than those without, since they are more "active".
Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis because it is used to measure the relative significance of a market move.
The higher the volume during a price move, the more significant the move and the lower the volume during a price move, the less significant the move.
A climax occurs at the end of a bull or bear market cycle and is characterized by escalated trading volume and sharp price movements.
Climaxes are usually preceded by extreme sentiment readings, either excessive euphoria at market peaks, or excessive pessimism at market bottoms.
Essentially, climaxes are a result of a resolution in supply and demand factors.
Buying Climaxes
One of the clearest signals of the end of a bull market is a buying climax, during which volume escalates to extreme levels and bullish euphoria permeates media coverage of stocks, market indices, or commodities . The key trait of a buying climax is the exhaustion of demand as the last buyers enter the market. The final surge of buying typically leads to price spikes, which may last for days, weeks, or months. As demand wanes, buyers become less willing to pay higher prices. There may be a brief period of stagnation in prices before a combination of profit-taking and new sellers set in motion the start of a sharp reversal.
Selling Climaxes
The beginning of a selling climax is often signaled by steadily increasing volume on the sell side of the market as growing pessimism accelerates the downtrend. As the selling climax approaches, the last buyers finally capitulate, driving shares sharply lower. Once the supply side of the market abates, demand at support levels can cause the price to level off before a combination of profit-taking and new buyers set in motion the start of a sharp reversal.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Fractal Growth Model By ARUDDThis model, which I'm calling the Logarithmic Fractal Growth Mode (L.F.G) , uses Bitcoin's mathematical monetary policy to evaluate the future possible price valuation.
It takes into account fractal (and logarithmic) growth as well as how those who hold bitcoins might react to certain events such as changes in supply and demand. It also shows that it is mathematically logical that someday it must become stable.
The information gained from knowing this helps people make more informed decisions when buying bitcoin and thinking of its future possibilities.
The model can serve as some type of general guideline for determining how much bitcoins should be worth in the future if it follows a certain path from its current price.
Modeling Bitcoin's money supply mathematically, and knowing that there is a finite number of them, makes this whole process much more rational than just thinking about the possibilities in pure subjective terms.
Before going any further I want to say that no one can know with absolute certainty what will happen to bitcoins price in the future, but using mathematics gives us an idea of where things are headed.
The results presented here are based on very reasonable assumptions for how bitcoin might continue to grow (and then level out) once there are over 21 million bitcoins in existence.
The model shows that bitcoin's price can never go down to zero (thus creating the "death spiral" phenomenon), and as such, bitcoin has an extremely high probability of becoming stable as it approaches infinity.
Conversely, this model also shows that at some point there is a high probability that bitcoin will not continue to grow exponentially forever.
Credit goes to Quantadelic for the awesome original script.
ARUDD
Freedom of MovementFreedom of Movement Indicator
---------------------------------------------------------
In “Evidence-Based Support & Resistance” article, author Melvin Dickover introduces two new indicators to help traders note support and resistance areas by identifying supply and demand pools. Here you can find the support-resistance technical indicator called "Freedom of Movement".
The indicator takes into account price-volume behavior in order to detect points where movement of price is suddenly restricted, the possible supply and demand pools. These points are also marked by Defended Price Lines (DPLs).
DPLs are horizontal lines that run across the chart at levels defined by following conditions:
* Overlapping bars: If the indicator spike (i.e., indicator is above 2.0 or a custom value) corresponds to a price bar overlapping the previous one, the previous close can be used as the DPL value.
* Very large bars: If the indicator spike corresponds to a price bar of a large size, use its close price as the DPL value.
* Gapping bars: If the indicator spike corresponds to a price bar gapping from the previous bar, the DPL value will depend on the gap size. Small gaps can be ignored: the author suggests using the previous close as the DPL value. When the gap is big, the close of the latter bar is used instead.
* Clustering spikes: If the indicator spikes come in clusters, use the extreme close or open price of the bar corresponding to the last or next to last spike in cluster.
DPLs can be used as support and resistance levels. In order confirm and refine them, FoM (Freedom of Movement) is used along with the Relative Volume Indicator (RVI), which you can find here:
Clustering spikes provide the strongest DPLs while isolated spikes can be used to confirm and refine those provided by the RVI. Coincidence of spikes of the two indicator can be considered a sign of greater strength of the DPL.
More info:
S&C magazine, April 2014.
Order Blocks+swl - Dual MTF Fixed ExtendedOrder Blocks+SWL - Dual MTF with Swing Validation
Overview
This advanced TradingView indicator combines Multi-Timeframe Order Block detection with Swing High/Low validation to identify high-probability supply and demand zones. The tool displays order blocks from higher timeframes and current timeframe, then highlights those that align with swing points for enhanced reliability.
🔧 Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Order Block Detection
- Current Timeframe: Detects order blocks on the chart's native timeframe
- HTF1 & HTF2: Two customizable higher timeframes (default: 60m, 240m)
- Independent Toggles: Enable/disable each timeframe's OBs separately
Smart Order Block Logic
- Long Order Blocks: Formed when current candle's LOW > middle candle's HIGH
- Short Order Blocks: Formed when current candle's HIGH < middle candle's LOW
- Persistent Display: Boxes extend until price fills the zone
- Color Coding:
- Current TF: Green (long) / Red (short)
- HTF1: Orange (long) / Maroon (short)
- HTF2: Blue (long) / Purple (short)
Swing Point Integration
-Swing Lows (SWL) & Swing Highs (SWH): Automatically detected using pivots
-Validation Overlay: Highlights order blocks that coincide with swing points
- Lime boxes: Long OBs with SWL confirmation
- Fuchsia boxes: Short OBs with SWH confirmation
Visual Elements
- Order Block Boxes: Semi-transparent zones with bold borders
- Entry Markers: Triangle shapes below/above bars for visual confirmation
- Swing Labels: SWL/SWH labels at pivot points
- Valid OB Overlay: Distinctive colored boxes for validated zones
⚙️ Input Parameters
Display Controls
- `Show Long OBs`: Toggle long order block display
- `Show Short OBs`: Toggle short order block display
- `Show Current TF OBs`: Display order blocks from current timeframe
- `Use HTF1/HTF2 OBs`: Enable higher timeframe order blocks
- `HTF1/HTF2`: Customizable timeframe strings
Technical Settings
- `My Input`: Maximum unfilled boxes to display (50-50000, default: 1000)
- `Swing Lookback / Forward Length`: Pivot detection sensitivity (default: 10)
📊 How It Works
1. Order Block Detection: The indicator scans three timeframes for specific candlestick patterns that indicate potential supply/demand zones.
2. Swing Point Detection: Simultaneously identifies swing highs and lows using pivot logic.
3. Validation Overlay: When an order block forms on the same candle as a swing point, it creates a special highlighted zone indicating higher probability.
4. Memory Management: Automatically manages box count to prevent performance issues while maintaining historical context.
🎯 Trading Applications
- Trend Continuation: Validated order blocks in trend direction offer high-probability entries
- Reversal Zones: Swing-aligned order blocks at key levels suggest potential reversals
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Higher timeframe OBs provide stronger support/resistance
- Zone Trading: Trade bounces from or breaks through validated zones
💡 Usage Tips
1. Prioritize Validated Zones: Focus on lime/fuchsia boxes as they have swing confirmation
2. Timeframe Hierarchy: HTF2 (240m) > HTF1 (60m) > Current TF for zone strength
3. Combine with Price Action: Use zones alongside candlestick patterns and volume
4. Risk Management: Place stops beyond opposite side of order block
⚠️ Limitations
- Not a standalone trading system - combine with other analysis
- May repaint on current bar until close
- Higher timeframes require sufficient historical data
- Swing detection sensitivity depends on length parameter
---
Note: This tool is for educational purposes. Always practice proper risk management and backtest strategies before live trading.
Classic Chartism-Market Structure- Support.ResistanceClassic Chartism – Market Structure + Support & Resistance
This indicator is designed for traditional chart-based technical analysis, relying exclusively on price action and market structure, without the use of oscillators or lagging indicators.
The script automatically detects significant swing highs and swing lows using confirmed pivots and classifies price structure according to classic market structure notation:
HH (Higher High)
HL (Higher Low)
LH (Lower High)
LL (Lower Low)
Based on these swings, the indicator plots horizontal Support & Resistance (SR) levels, representing historically significant areas of supply and demand. These levels remain active until invalidated by price, providing a clear and objective market context.
The indicator does not repaint once a swing is confirmed, making it suitable for real-time analysis and discretionary trading decisions. It performs well across cryptocurrencies, futures, indices, and equities, and is particularly useful for trend identification, pullback entries, and structure-based risk management.
Box Theory [Interactive Zones] PyraTimeThis script combines Nicholas Darvas’s "Box Theory" with modern Supply and Demand (Premium/Discount) concepts. It automatically identifies the most recent Swing High and Swing Low to delineate the current trading range.
The purpose of this tool is to visualize market structure and help traders identify when price is relatively expensive (Premium) or cheap (Discount) within a defined range.
Visual Guide: What You Are Seeing
The Box: Represents the active trading range defined by the most recent significant Swing High and Swing Low.
Red Zone (Premium): The top 25% of the range. Mathematically, prices here are considered "expensive" relative to the current structure.
Green Zone (Discount): The bottom 25% of the range. Prices here are considered "cheap" relative to the current structure.
Grey Zone (Equilibrium): The middle 50% of the range. This is the area of fair value where price often consolidates.
Dashed Line (EQ): The exact 50% midpoint of the range.
Tutorial: How to Trade Using This Indicator
Method 1: Mean Reversion (Range Trading) This method applies when the market is moving sideways.
Identify Structure: Wait for a box to form.
Wait for Extremes: Do not trade when price is in the middle (Grey/White area). Wait for price to enter the Red or Green zones.
Entry Trigger:
Shorts: When price enters the Red Zone, look for a rejection (wicks leaving the zone) or a lower timeframe breakdown. Target the EQ (Midline) as your first take profit.
Longs: When price enters the Green Zone, look for support formation. Target the EQ (Midline) as your first take profit.
Method 2: Trend Continuation (Breakouts) This method applies when the market is trending strongly.
Breakout: Monitor the alerts. A close outside the box indicates a potential shift in market structure.
Retest: After a breakout up, the old "Red Zone" (Resistance) often flips to become new Support. Wait for price to pull back to the top of the old box before entering.
Configuration Guide (Settings)
Pivot Left/Right Bars (Sensitivity):
Default (20/20): Best for Swing Trading. It filters out market noise and only draws boxes based on major structural points.
Lower (5/5): Best for Scalping. It will create smaller, more frequent boxes but increases the risk of false signals.
Zone Percentage:
Default (25%): Standard deviation for Supply/Demand zones.
Alternative (15%): Use this for "sniping" entries at the absolute extremes of the range.
Multi-Timeframe (MTF):
Enable "Use Higher Timeframe" to see Daily or Weekly ranges while trading on lower timeframes (like the 15m or 1H). This helps keep your intraday trades aligned with the major trend.
Technical Note on "Lag" This indicator uses Pivots to draw the box. A pivot is only confirmed after a certain number of bars have passed (the "Pivot Right Bars" setting).
Example: If "Pivot Right Bars" is set to 20, the box will update 20 bars after the actual high or low occurred. This is necessary to confirm that the point was indeed a Swing High/Low. Do not treat the box lines as predictive; they are reactive to confirmed structure.
Liquidity ThermometerThis is a universal indicator that assesses market liquidity based on five key market parameters: volume, volatility, candlestick range, body size, and price momentum.
The indicator does not use open interest data and is suitable for all markets, including spot, futures, and Forex.
This indicator normalizes each metric historically and creates a composite index between 0 and 1, where higher values correspond to a stable and calm market environment, and lower values indicate periods of increased risk and potential liquidity stress.
LT generates an integral liquidity index in the range based on five normalized components:
-nVol — normalized volume, reflecting trading density and activity.
-nATR — the volatility component (ATR), inverted, as high volatility is typically associated with declining liquidity.
-nRange — the normalized candlestick range, also inverted to assess the structural narrowness of the price movement.
-nBody — the normalized candlestick body size (|close − open|), inverted to assess the balance of supply and demand.
-nMove — the normalized value of the price impulse movement (|Δclose|), reflecting short-term price spikes.
Each metric is linearly normalized over a sliding window (200 bars) using the formula:
norm(x) = (x − min) / (max − min),
where at max = min, the value is fixed at 0.5 to ensure stability.
The ALT index is calculated as a weighted combination:
ALT = 0.35 nVol + 0.20 (1 − nATR) + 0.20 (1 − nRange) + 0.15 (1 − nBody) + 0.10 (1 − nMove)
The result is further smoothed using EMA(3) to reduce micronoise.
Red Zone (MLI < 0.25) — Risk, Thin Liquidity
When the indicator falls into the red zone, it means the market is extremely volatile:
Characteristics:
Low volume — small trades have a strong impact on the price.
High volatility — candlesticks rise or fall sharply.
Wide candlestick range — the market is "breathing heavily," easily breaking price extremes.
Impulsive movements — small market shocks lead to sharp spikes.
Thin liquidity — few orders in the order book, large orders "eat up" the market.
What this means for a trader:
🔥 High risk of spikes and false breakouts.
⚠ Possible series of liquidations on leverage.
❌ It is not recommended to enter long or short positions without a filter or protection.
✅ Can be used for short scalping strategies if you know the entry point, but very carefully.
Green Zone (MLI > 0.75) — High Liquidity, Safe Zone
When the indicator rises into the green zone, it means the market is stable and balanced:
Characteristics:
High volume — the market is deep, orders are executed without a strong impact on the price.
Low volatility — candlesticks are stable, no sharp spikes.
Narrow candlestick range — price moves calmly.
Weak impulse movements — no sharp surges.
Sufficient liquidity — the market can handle large orders.
What this means for a trader:
✅ Safe zone for opening positions.
🔄 Easier to set stop-loss and take-profit orders.
💡 You can trade both up and down, the risk of sharp movements is minimal.
⚡ Under these conditions, there is a lower risk of spikes and accidental liquidations.
It does not predict price movements or guarantee results. It is an analytical tool intended for additional research into market structure.
Estimated Manipulation Movement Signal [AlgoPoint]Follow the Footprints of Whale Movements That Drive the Market
Overview
The market is not always driven by natural supply and demand. Large players—often called "whales" or institutions—can create artificial price movements to trigger stop-losses, induce panic or FOMO, and build their large positions at favorable prices. These events are known as "stop hunts" or "liquidity grabs."
The EMMS indicator is a specialized tool designed to detect these specific moments of potential market manipulation. It does not follow trends in a traditional sense; instead, it identifies high-probability reversal points created by the calculated actions of Smart Money trapping other market participants.
How It Works: The 3-Module Logic
The indicator uses a multi-stage confirmation process to identify a potential stop hunt:
1. Anomaly Detection: The engine first scans the chart for "Anomaly Candles." These are candles with unusually high volume and a very long wick relative to their body. This combination signals a sudden, forceful, and potentially unnatural price push.
2. Liquidity Zone Detection: The indicator automatically identifies and tracks recent significant swing highs and lows. These levels are considered "Liquidity Zones" because they are areas where a large number of stop-loss orders are likely clustered. These are the "hunting grounds" for whales.
3. The Stop Hunt Signal: A final signal is generated only when these two events align in a specific sequence:
An Anomaly Candle (high volume, long wick) spikes through a previously identified Liquidity Zone.
The same candle then reverses, closing back inside the previous price range.
This sequence confirms that the move was likely a "trap" designed to engineer liquidity, and a reversal in the opposite direction is now highly probable.
How to Interpret & Use This Indicator
BUY Signal: A BUY signal appears after a sharp price drop that pierces a recent swing low (taking out the stops of long positions) and then aggressively reverses to close higher. This suggests that Smart Money has absorbed the panic selling they just induced. The signal indicates a potential move UP.
SELL Signal: A SELL signal appears after a sharp price spike that pierces a recent swing high (taking out the stops of short positions) and then aggressively reverses to close lower. This suggests that Smart Money has sold into the FOMO buying they just created. The signal indicates a potential move DOWN.
This indicator is best used as a high-probability confirmation tool, ideally in conjunction with your understanding of the overall market trend and structure.
Reversal Scalper – Adib NooraniThe Reversal Scalper is an indicator designed to identify potential reversal zones based on supply and demand dynamics. It uses smoothed stochastic logic along with ATR bands, to reduce noise and highlight areas where momentum may be weakening, signaling possible market turning points.
🔹 Smooth, noise-reduced stochastic oscillator
🔹 Custom zones to highlight potential supply and demand imbalances
🔹 Non-repainting, compatible across all timeframes and assets
🔹 Visual-only tool — intended to support discretionary trading decisions
This oscillator assists scalpers and intraday traders in tracking subtle shifts in momentum, helping them identify when a market may be preparing to reverse — always keeping in mind that trading is based on probabilities, not certainties.
📘 How to Use the Indicator Efficiently
For Reversal Trading:
Buy Setup
– When the blue line dips below the 20 level, wait for it to re-enter above 20.
– Look for reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer, or morning star).
– Enter above the pattern’s high, with a stop loss below its low.
Sell Setup
– When the blue line rises above the 80 level, wait for it to re-enter below 80.
– Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, inverted hammer, or evening star).
– Enter below the pattern’s low, with a stop loss above its high.
🛡 Risk Management Guidelines
Risk only 0.5% of your capital per trade
Book 50% profits at a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
Trail the remaining 50% using price action or other supporting indicators
Wick Pressure Zones [BigBeluga]
The Wick Pressure Zones indicator highlights areas where extreme wick activity occurred, signaling strong buy or sell pressure. By measuring unusually long upper or lower wicks and mapping them into gradient volume zones , the tool helps traders identify levels where liquidity was absorbed, leaving behind footprints of supply and demand imbalances. These zones often act as support, resistance, or liquidity sweep magnets .
🔵 CONCEPTS
Extreme Wicks : Large upper or lower shadows indicate aggressive rejection — upper wicks suggest selling pressure, lower wicks suggest buying pressure.
Volumatic Gradient Zones : From each detected wick, the indicator projects a layered gradient zone, proportional to the wick’s size, showing where most pressure occurred.
Liquidity Footprints : These zones mark levels where significant buy/sell volume was executed, often becoming reaction points on future retests.
Automatic Expiration : Zones persist until price decisively trades through them, after which they are cleared to keep the chart clean.
🔵 FEATURES
Automatic Wick Detection : Identifies extreme upper and lower wick events using percentile filtering and Realative Strength Index.
Gradient Zone Visualization : Builds a 10-layer zone from the wick top/bottom, shading intensity according to pressure strength.
Volume Labels : Each zone is annotated with the bar’s volume at the origin point for added context.
Dynamic Zone Extension : Zones extend to the right as long as they remain relevant; once price closes through them, they are removed.
Support & Resistance Mapping : Upper wick zones (red) behave like supply/resistance, lower wick zones (green) like demand/support.
Clutter Control : Limits the number of active zones (default 10) to keep charts responsive.
Background Highlighting : Optional background shading when new wick zones appear (red for sell, green for buy).
🔵 HOW TO USE
Look for Upper Wick Zones (red) : Indicate strong selling pressure; watch for resistance, reversals, or liquidity sweeps above.
Look for Lower Wick Zones (green) : Indicate strong buying pressure; watch for support or liquidity sweeps below.
Trade Retests : When price returns to a zone, expect a reaction (bounce or rejection) due to leftover liquidity.
Combine with Context : Align wick pressure zones with HTF support/resistance, order blocks, or volume profile for stronger signals.
Use Volume Labels : High-volume wicks indicate more significant liquidity events, making the zone more likely to act as a strong reaction point.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Wick Pressure Zones is a powerful way to visualize hidden liquidity and aggressive rejections. By mapping extreme wick events into dynamic, volume-annotated zones, it shows traders where the market absorbed heavy buy/sell pressure. These levels frequently act as magnets or turning points, making them valuable for timing entries, stop placement, or fade strategies.
Leg Out Candle V2.0The Script marks candles that could be considered as a leg out of a supply/demand and are bigger than the previous ones based on the adjustable lookback value. There is also the option to adjust the threshold ob the body to wick ratio of the leg out candle. The lowest value is 50% because anything lower would be a basing candle.
Alpha - Combined BreakoutThis Pine Script indicator, "Alpha - Combined Breakout," is a combination between Smart Money Breakout Signals and UT Bot Alert, The UT Bot Alert indicator was initially developer by Yo_adriiiiaan
The idea of original code belongs HPotter.
This Indicator helps you identify potential trading opportunities by combining two distinct strategies: Smart Money Breakout and a modified UT Bot (likely a variation of the Ultimate Trend Bot). It provides visual signals, draws lines for potential take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels, and includes a dashboard to track performance metrics.
Tutorial:
Understanding and Using the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" Indicator
This indicator is designed for traders looking for confirmation of market direction and potential entry/exit points by blending structural analysis with a trend-following oscillator.
How it Works (General Concept)
The indicator combines two main components:
Smart Money Breakout: This part identifies significant breaks in market structure, which "smart money" traders often use to gauge shifts in supply and demand. It looks for higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows and flags when these structural points are broken.
UT Bot: This is a trend-following component that generates buy and sell signals based on price action relative to an Average True Range (ATR) based trailing stop.
You can choose to use these signals independently or combined to generate trading alerts and visual cues on your chart. The dashboard provides a quick overview of how well the signals are performing based on your chosen settings and display mode.
Parameters and What They Do
Let's break down each input parameter:
1. Smart Money Inputs
These settings control how the indicator identifies market structure and breakouts.
swingSize (Market Structure Time-Horizon):
What it does: This integer value defines the number of candles used to identify significant "swing" (pivot) points—highs and lows.
Effect: A larger swingSize creates a smoother market structure, focusing on longer-term trends. This means signals might appear less frequently and with some delay but could be more reliable for higher timeframes or broader market movements. A smaller swingSize will pick up more minor market structure changes, leading to more frequent but potentially noisier signals, suitable for lower timeframes or scalping.
Analogy: Think of it like a zoom level on your market structure map. Higher values zoom out, showing only major mountain ranges. Lower values zoom in, showing every hill and bump.
bosConfType (BOS Confirmation Type):
What it does: This string input determines how a Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed. You have two options:
'Candle Close': A breakout is confirmed only if a candle's closing price surpasses the previous swing high (for bullish) or swing low (for bearish).
'Wicks': A breakout is confirmed if any part of the candle (including its wick) surpasses the previous swing high or low.
Effect: 'Candle Close' provides stronger, more conservative confirmation, as it implies sustained price movement beyond the structure. 'Wicks' provides earlier, more aggressive signals, as it captures momentary breaches of the structure.
Analogy: Imagine a wall. 'Candle Close' means the whole person must get over the wall. 'Wicks' means even a finger touching over the top counts as a breach.
choch (Show CHoCH):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to enable or disable the display of "Change of Character" (CHoCH) labels. CHoCH indicates the first structural break against the current dominant trend.
Effect: When true, it helps identify early signs of a potential trend reversal, as it marks where the market's "character" (its tendency to make higher highs/lows or lower lows/highs) first changes.
BULL (Bullish Color) & BEAR (Bearish Color):
What they do: These color inputs allow you to customize the visual appearance of bullish and bearish signals and lines drawn by the Smart Money component.
Effect: Purely cosmetic, helps with visual identification on the chart.
sm_tp_sl_multiplier (SM TP/SL Multiplier (ATR)):
What it does: A float value that acts as a multiplier for the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels specifically when you're in "Smart Money Only" mode. It uses the ATR calculated by the UT Bot's nLoss_ut as its base.
Effect: A higher multiplier creates wider TP/SL levels, potentially leading to fewer trades but larger wins/losses. A lower multiplier creates tighter TP/SL levels, potentially leading to more frequent but smaller wins/losses.
2. UT Bot Alerts Inputs
These parameters control the behavior and sensitivity of the UT Bot component.
a_ut (UT Key Value (Sensitivity)):
What it does: This integer value adjusts the sensitivity of the UT Bot.
Effect: A higher value makes the UT Bot less sensitive to price fluctuations, resulting in fewer and potentially more reliable signals. A lower value makes it more sensitive, generating more signals, which can include more false signals.
Analogy: Like a noise filter. Higher values filter out more noise, keeping only strong signals.
c_ut (UT ATR Period):
What it does: This integer sets the look-back period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation used by the UT Bot. ATR measures market volatility.
Effect: This period directly influences the calculation of the nLoss_ut (which is a_ut * xATR_ut), thus defining the distance of the trailing stop loss and take profit levels. A longer period makes the ATR smoother and less reactive to sudden price spikes. A shorter period makes it more responsive.
h_ut (UT Signals from Heikin Ashi Candles):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to determine if the UT Bot calculations should use standard candlestick data or Heikin Ashi candlestick data.
Effect: Heikin Ashi candles smooth out price action, often making trends clearer and reducing noise. Using them for UT Bot signals can lead to smoother, potentially delayed signals that stay with a trend longer. Standard candles are more reactive to raw price changes.
3. Line Drawing Control Buttons
These crucial boolean inputs determine which type of signals will trigger the drawing of TP/SL/Entry lines and flags on your chart. They act as a priority system.
drawLinesUtOnly (Draw Lines: UT Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the UT Bot generates a buy/sell signal.
Effect: Isolates UT Bot signals for visual analysis.
drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly (Draw Lines: Smart Money Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the Smart Money Breakout logic generates a bullish/bearish breakout.
Effect: Overrides drawLinesUtOnly if both are checked. Isolates Smart Money signals.
drawLinesCombined (Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when both a UT Bot signal AND a Smart Money Breakout signal occur on the same bar.
Effect: Overrides both drawLinesUtOnly and drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly if checked. Provides the strictest entry criteria for line drawing, looking for strong confluence.
Dashboard Metrics Explained
The dashboard provides performance statistics based on the lines drawing control button selected. For example, if "Draw Lines: UT Only" is active, the dashboard will show stats only for UT Bot signals.
Total Signals: The total number of buy or sell signals generated by the selected drawing mode.
TP1 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP2 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 2 (TP2) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP3 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 3 (TP3) before hitting the Stop Loss. (Note: TP1, TP2, TP3 are in order of distance from entry, with TP3 being furthest.)
SL before any TP rate: This crucial metric shows the number of times the Stop Loss was hit / the percentage of total signals where the stop loss was triggered before any of the three Take Profit levels were reached. This gives you a clear picture of how often a trade resulted in a loss without ever moving into profit target territory.
Short Tutorial: How to Use the Indicator
Add to Chart: Open your TradingView chart, go to "Indicators," search for "Alpha - Combined Breakout," and add it to your chart.
Access Settings: Once added, click the gear icon next to the indicator name on your chart to open its settings.
Choose Your Signal Mode:
For UT Bot only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: UT Only" is checked.
For Smart Money only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: UT Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" is checked.
For Combined Signals: Check "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". This will override the other two.
Adjust Parameters:
Start with default settings. Observe how the signals appear on your chosen asset and timeframe.
Refine Smart Money: If you see too many "noisy" market structure breaks, increase swingSize. If you want earlier breakouts, try "Wicks" for bosConfType.
Refine UT Bot: Adjust a_ut (Sensitivity) to get more or fewer UT Bot signals. Change c_ut (ATR Period) if you want larger or smaller TP/SL distances. Experiment with h_ut to see if Heikin Ashi smoothing suits your trading style.
Adjust TP/SL Multiplier: If using "Smart Money Only" mode, fine-tune sm_tp_sl_multiplier to set appropriate risk/reward levels.
Interpret Signals & Lines:
Buy/Sell Flags: These indicate the presence of a signal based on your selected drawing mode.
Entry Line (Blue Solid): This is where the signal was generated (usually the close price of the signal candle).
SL Line (Red/Green Solid): Your calculated stop loss level.
TP Lines (Dashed): Your three calculated take profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, where TP3 is the furthest target).
Smart Money Lines (BOS/CHoCH): These lines indicate horizontal levels where market structure breaks occurred. CHoCH labels might appear at the first structural break against the prior trend.
Monitor Dashboard: Pay attention to the dashboard in the top right corner. This dynamically updates to show the win rates for each TP and, crucially, the "SL before any TP rate." Use these statistics to evaluate the effectiveness of the indicator's signals under your current settings and chosen mode.
*
Set Alerts (Optional): You can set up alerts for any of the specific signals (UT Bot Long/Short, Smart Money Bullish/Bearish, or the "Line Draw" combined signals) to notify you when they occur, even if you're not actively watching the chart.
By following this tutorial, you'll be able to effectively use and customize the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" indicator to suit your trading strategy.
Reversal Strength Meter – Adib NooraniThe Reversal Strength Meter is an oscillator designed to identify potential reversal zones based on supply and demand dynamics. It uses smoothed stochastic logic to reduce noise and highlight areas where momentum may be weakening, signaling possible market turning points.
🔹 Smooth, noise-reduced stochastic oscillator
🔹 Custom zones to highlight potential supply and demand imbalances
🔹 Non-repainting, compatible across all timeframes and assets
🔹 Visual-only tool — intended to support discretionary trading decisions
This oscillator assists scalpers and intraday traders in tracking subtle shifts in momentum, helping them identify when a market may be preparing to reverse — always keeping in mind that trading is based on probabilities, not certainties.
📘 How to Use the Indicator Efficiently
For Reversal Trading:
Buy Setup
– When the blue line dips below the 20 level, wait for it to re-enter above 20.
– Look for reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer, or morning star).
– Enter above the pattern’s high, with a stop loss below its low.
Sell Setup
– When the blue line rises above the 80 level, wait for it to re-enter below 80.
– Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, inverted hammer, or evening star).
– Enter below the pattern’s low, with a stop loss above its high.
🛡 Risk Management Guidelines
Risk only 0.5% of your capital per trade
Book 50% profits at a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
Trail the remaining 50% using price action or other supporting indicators
faiz MACDMACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator used in technical analysis to gauge the strength, direction, and potential reversal points of a trend in a financial asset's price movement. Developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, MACD is particularly favored by traders for its ability to capture both trend-following and momentum aspects of price behavior.
Components of the MACD
The MACD is derived from two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security's price:
MACD Line: This is the difference between the 12-day and 26-day EMAs. The shorter 12-day EMA reacts more quickly to price changes, while the 26-day EMA smooths out price fluctuations, offering a longer-term perspective.
Formula: MACD Line = 12-day EMA - 26-day EMA
Signal Line: This is the 1-day EMA of the MACD Line itself. The signal line is used to generate buy and sell signals when it crosses the MACD line.
Formula: Signal Line = 1-day EMA of the MACD Line
MACD Histogram: The histogram represents the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. It is displayed as bars that oscillate above and below a zero line, helping to visualize the convergence or divergence between the two lines.
Formula: Histogram = MACD Line - Signal Line
Interpretation of MACD
The MACD indicator is used to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the following observations:
MACD Line and Signal Line Crossovers:
Bullish Crossover: A buy signal occurs when the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line. This suggests that the momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls, indicating a potential upward price movement.
Bearish Crossover: A sell signal occurs when the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line. This suggests a bearish trend may be emerging, signaling a potential downward movement.
Divergence:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price of the asset is making new lows, but the MACD is forming higher lows. This suggests that the downward momentum is weakening and a potential reversal to the upside may be imminent.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price is making new highs, but the MACD is forming lower highs. This suggests that the upward momentum is weakening and a reversal to the downside may occur.
Only use it in timeframe m1, and solely use for XAUUSD pair.
Advisable to use it as a confirmation with other indicator such as
BBMA, SMC, SUPPORT RESISTANCE, SUPPLY AND DEMAND.
how to use :
MA 5 Crossing above MA9, will generate BUY signals
MA 5 Crossing below MA9, will generate SELL signals
Trade at your own SKILLS.
I dont mind people using this script for free.
All I want is just prayer for me and my family success.
Thank You and Have a nice and pleasant day :-)
